An Undiscovered
Paradise for Income Investors
January 23, 2008
No
matter what happens in 2008, most economists agree that,
over the long run, the U.S. economy is likely to post GDP growth of around
+3% annually. That's very respectable for a large, developed economy.
With a total GDP of more
than $13 trillion, that means that the U.S. economy grows roughly $400
billion a year. To put that number into perspective, consider
that Belgium's entire annual GDP stands at only $390 billion. Meanwhile, Saudi
Arabia's annual GDP is less than $310
billion.
Countries normally grow fastest
during the early stages of their economic development. A century ago, for
example, it wasn't unusual for the U.S. to deliver real economic growth of
close to +10% per year. As the country moved from being a primarily agrarian
society to a global industrialized power, U.S. manufacturing, industrial, and
eventually service-sector businesses blossomed. These industries, in turn,
paid out higher wages that led to the emergence of a large middle class and
the development of a powerful consumer sector.
And the U.S. is by no means an
unusual example -- a number of other countries have followed this exact
same pattern. Consider the case of the U.K. in the late 18th and throughout
the 19th century. In 1750, England was still a largely agrarian nation with
a total GDP roughly equivalent to what it was 500 years earlier. But as
Britain began to industrialize, growth began to pick up, making Great
Britain the world's preeminent economic and military power by the mid 19th
century. Like the U.S., a sizeable middle class began to emerge in Britain.
Imagine the gains you would have
earned if you had invested in the U.S. or U.K. early in their development,
just as each country's economic growth rate was accelerating. The potential
returns for investors during these growth phases were enormous.
But investors don't have to just
imagine that scenario -- today's emerging markets offer growth potential
every bit as strong as the U.S. or U.K. markets did a century and two
centuries ago. And as we all know, China remains far and away
one of today's most exciting growth markets.
As
you can see in my chart, China's GDP growth has averaged close to
three times that of the U.S. over the past decade. That's not to say
that China is wealthier than the U.S. -- in fact, U.S. GDP per
capita currently stands at a little over $43,000per person, almost six times higher than China's $7,800
(including wealthy Hong Kong).
But China is starting to undergo the
same rapid transformation from economic backwater to a modern industrial
power. Eventually, China may reach a wealth level similar to what prevails
in the U.S. or Western Europe, and at that point its tremendous economic
growth will likely slow. However, even if that scenario does unfold, that's
still decades away -- average growth in China will likely continue to trend
higher than in the U.S. for years to come.
An Attractive Market for Income Investors
Historically,
China hasn't been known as a great hunting ground for income investors.
However, more and more Chinese firms are starting to pay dividends, and a
select handful of stocks are now delivering enormous yields.
This trend toward higher dividends is being fueled by strong economic
growth. Thanks to the nation's booming economy, many companies have suddenly
found themselves
awash in huge cash reserves -- cash they are eager to get back in the hands
of their shareholders.
Consider the case of Seaspan Corporation (NYSE: SSW),
a major player in the Chinese shipping industry. This firm has
increased its quarterly dividend
+93% in the past two years alone, and Seaspan now showers
investors with a tantalizing 7% yield. I think the firm's payments will keep rising as global
demand for shipping powers Seaspan's earnings higher.
But as any good investor will tell you, dividend payments are only one part
of your total returns. If you invest in securities that also appreciate in price while
paying steady dividends, then your total returns could skyrocket. And shares of Seaspan
have done just that. In fact, since the start of 2006, shares of SSW have
jumped +50% higher, giving investors a
total return of +71.8% when you include the impact of dividends.
Examples like Seaspan show just how lucrative it
can be to invest in high-yield stocks. And when it comes to the search for
high yields, there's no better place to look than foreign markets. In
fact, recent research shows that 93% of the highest-yielding stocks in the
world can be found abroad.
With this in mind, I recently teamed up with one of the most experienced
publishers on the planet -- leading stock market research outfit
StreetAuthority, LLC. We've worked together to launch High-Yield
International -- a brand new publication dedicated to helping you find foreign companies
that are delivering some of the greatest dividends in the world.
If you're limiting your portfolio solely to U.S. stocks and funds, then
you're missing out on some of the world's very best income opportunities.
Many of the undiscovered gems I profile in High-Yield International pay dividends of 10%, 12% . . . even 15% or more. Yields like this are
simply too good to pass up. But because of their narrow
focus, most U.S. investors don't even know these dividend-paying securities
exist!
Visit
this link to learn more about my High-Yield International
newsletter.


-- Nick Lanyi
Editor, High-Yield International
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