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Taiwan Offers China-Sized Growth Potential, Plus
21.4% Yields
August 10, 2008
Much has been written about the long-term potential of Chinese
stocks, which are being driven by the sustained economic boom of the
world's most populous country. Despite a few concerns -- namely
inflation and a short supply of some essential raw materials --
China's economy keeps rolling. Its economy expanded +10.1% in the
second quarter, which was slightly lower than economic forecasts,
but still at a pace that's akin to the sprinters who'll compete in
the Beijing Olympics in just a few days.
One of the surest beneficiaries of China's growth is
the Republic of China, the island nation off the mainland,
better known as Taiwan. One of the wealthiest and most
developed economies in Asia, Taiwan has a robust technology
industry that is a natural complement to China's low cost
and efficient industrial base. And for investors, this
could be a case of history repeating itself. When
Taiwan first lifted its travel ban to the mainland in 1987
and allowed capital investment in China for the first time,
the Taiwanese market went on a three year run, increasing
nearly +1000%.
Taiwan Policy Shift Thaws Once-Icy Relationship
The fact that China's economic growth is doing
tremendous good for Taiwan is ironic, as the two countries
have engaged in a decades-long family feud over sovereignty
that remains contentious. But in pragmatic fashion,
they're increasingly setting aside their differences to work
together economically.
That process was speeded up when Ma Ying-jeou became
Taiwan's president in May. The leader of the
Nationalist Party (also called the KMT Party), Ma was
elected on a platform of stronger economic growth and closer
ties with mainland China. Ma's presidency follows
eight years of administrative policy which took a harder
line against mainland China.
Taiwan already is a major investor in China's economy,
and a million Taiwanese citizens live and work on the
mainland. And Ma's agenda to further formalize those
economic ties is well on its way to being implemented.
The commencement of direct commercial flight service
was crucial because it shortens the travel time between
Taipei and some key mainland cities by up to 75% over
existing, indirect routes. And just a couple of weeks
ago, the Taiwanese cabinet approved new rules allowing
Taiwanese companies to invest up to 60% of their net worth
in mainland China, versus 40% currently.
Ma's policy of engagement could eventually even lead to
a formal peace agreement that acknowledges, if not
officially recognizes, both countries' sovereignty. In
practical terms, that has already occurred. But by
reassuring the world that armed conflict is not going to
happen, China and Taiwan could increase confidence in each
others' economies and financial arrangements -- that will
help the stocks of companies in both countries.
In addition to improve Taiwan's relationship
with mainland China, Ma wants to strengthen trade
relationships with other countries and establish Taiwan as
one of the more flexible and progressive trade partners in
the world.
Recent Pullback Has Investors Locking in Higher
Yields
After having sold off along with other international
markets in recent weeks, Taiwan's stock market now is very
attractively valued. Taiwanese stocks are trading at less than 11 times expected 2009
earnings -- versus about 13 for Hong Kong's market and 12
for the United States. What's especially attractive about
Taiwan is that its average stock yields 5%, providing
many opportunities
for investors to lock in outstanding yields and participate
in the gains about to unfold in Taiwan.
A number of Taiwan's most attractive stocks don't trade
on U.S. stock exchanges. And investors would be smart
to investigate Many of Taiwan's And there are
a number of funds that investors should consider. Both
The Taiwan Greater China Fund (NYSE: TFC) and the iShares
MSCI Taiwan Fund (NYSE: EWT) are solid investments with
stellar track records, but their heavy weighting in tech
stocks has held yields below what income investors should
expect from this region.
My favorite Taiwan investment is a closed-end fund
that has raised its dividend more that +140% over the last
three years. Unlike most Taiwan-focused funds, almost
50% of its holdings are in mid to small-cap companies which
have a history of rebounding further and faster after a
market slowdown. And smaller companies should also
capture regional economic benefits better than many of their
larger counterparts which have developed primarily as U.S.
exporters.
Of course the best news of all is this fund has made
payments of $3.618 per share over the past year for a 21.4%
yield based on recent share prices.
For the last six months, I've been
keeping my
High-Yield International newsletter subscribers
up to date on the warming relationship between China and
Taiwan -- and the red-hot opportunities its creating for
income investors. And Taiwan isn't the only country
with outstanding prospects and oversized yields that I
cover.
My staff and I have just put the finishing touches on a report that features
some of the best regions in the world for high-yield
investors like yourself. In this free report, I've
also included the name of my favorite Taiwan-focused fund.
Please
visit this link to instantly access your free report
and to learn more about
High-Yield International.


-- Nick Lanyi
Editor, High-Yield International
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